Over the past couple of weeks, the state’s 2018-2019 budget has taken center stage as the price of oil continues to stay well below expected levels. Speaker Joe Straus highlighted this in a letter to Chairman Otto and members of the House Appropriations Committee last week. “Texas is fortunate to enjoy an economy that is, overall, performing ahead of most states, and in many regards, the nation as a whole … However, we also need to heed the warning signs we are seeing from the economy and the impact it will have on writing the next state budget.” Straus said.
Straus’ comments to the House Appropriations committee outline what is most likely going to be a very difficult budgeting session. The state continues to grapple with an ever-growing population; a state foster care system embroiled in controversy; a looming Texas Supreme Court decision on the state’s school financing system; and hundreds of other issues important to Texans across the state.
While the significant population growth is indicative of and largely a result of our state’s thriving economy, it also adds a significant strain to our state’s infrastructure and to the services the state provides, ranging from education to Medicaid (as a side note these two combined, represent nearly 75% of the state’s budget).
Facing a difficult budgeting session will be nothing new for the Texas legislature. In 2011, the state faced a $15 billion dollar shortfall from the previous budget biennium. That shortfall shaped the entire legislative session and resulted in one of biggest changes to pharmacy within Medicaid. Fortunately, current projections have not suggested a repeat of the 2011 session. Yet…
The state has always benefited from a strong energy sector, but significant ebbs and flows are often seen in that area. In boom years, Texas has benefited from strong tax revenues from the oil industry while bust years see budgeting challenges. Thankfully today, the Texas economy is not singularly dependent on the energy sector and is benefiting from a much broader and diverse economy, as we have seen numerous other industries open and flourish in Texas.
As in sessions past, there are no easy answers ahead to how the state will or should fund state operations. There will inevitably be many interested parties hoping to shape the state budget, in doing so assuring the funding of their programs or projects, pharmacy will be no different as we continue to push for improved Medicaid reimbursement both within the shrinking fee-for-service and those administered by the MCOs. Over the coming months, state leaders, budgets writers and lobbyist alike will be watching the price per barrel of oil closely, because for better or worse it will play a large part in shaping the upcoming session.